Caleb Williams Prop Projections

Rush Attempts

Line: 4.5 | Model projection: 6.3 | Pick: over

Model probability: 79.8% | Over: 79.8% | Under: 20.2%

Odds: -102 | Over -102 | Under -125 (DraftKings)

Edge: 32.20 | Edge pct: 32.2%

Rushing Yards

Line: 18.5 | Model projection: 26.9 | Pick: over

Model probability: 66.6% | Over: 66.6% | Under: 33.4%

Odds: -115 | Over -115 | Under -109 (DraftKings)

Edge: 16.00 | Edge pct: 16.0%

Interceptions

Line: 0.5 | Model projection: 0.7 | Pick: over

Model probability: 58.2% | Over: 58.2% | Under: 41.8%

Odds: +116 | Over +116 | Under -149 (DraftKings)

Edge: 14.50 | Edge pct: 14.5%

Pass Attempts

Line: 32.5 | Model projection: 34.5 | Pick: over

Model probability: 62.9% | Over: 62.9% | Under: 37.1%

Odds: -116 | Over -116 | Under -110 (DraftKings)

Edge: 12.30 | Edge pct: 12.3%

Passing TDs

Line: 1.5 | Model projection: 1.5 | Pick: over

Model probability: 51.2% | Over: 51.2% | Under: 48.8%

Odds: -150 | Over -150 | Under +118 (DraftKings)

Edge: -5.50 | Edge pct: -5.5%

Completions

Line: 20.5 | Model projection: 20.8 | Pick: over

Model probability: 53.2% | Over: 53.2% | Under: 46.8%

Odds: -131 | Over -131 | Under +103 (DraftKings)

Edge: -0.30 | Edge pct: -0.3%

Passing Yards

Line: 243.5 | Model projection: 243.5 | Pick: over

Model probability: 50.0% | Over: 50.0% | Under: 50.0%

Odds: -112 | Over -112 | Under -112 (DraftKings)

Edge: 0.00 | Edge pct: 0.0%

About the model

Projections from the VSN model (vsn-v1). Games used: 20. Last game in sample: 2026-10-18T17:00:00.000+00:00. Lines and odds move; check the live board before betting.

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