C.J. Stroud Prop Projections

Rushing Yards

Line: 9.5 | Model projection: 14.4 | Pick: over

Model probability: 70.5% | Over: 70.5% | Under: 29.5%

Odds: -112 | Over -112 | Under -112 (DraftKings)

Edge: 20.50 | Edge pct: 20.5%

Passing TDs

Line: 1.5 | Model projection: 1.5 | Pick: under

Model probability: 51.2% | Over: 48.8% | Under: 51.2%

Odds: +125 | Over -160 | Under +125 (DraftKings)

Edge: 9.20 | Edge pct: 9.2%

Interceptions

Line: 0.5 | Model projection: 0.6 | Pick: over

Model probability: 54.7% | Over: 54.7% | Under: 45.3%

Odds: -101 | Over -101 | Under -127 (DraftKings)

Edge: 7.40 | Edge pct: 7.4%

Passing Yards

Line: 255.5 | Model projection: 248.3 | Pick: under

Model probability: 54.4% | Over: 45.6% | Under: 54.4%

Odds: -111 | Over -113 | Under -111 (DraftKings)

Edge: 4.60 | Edge pct: 4.6%

Pass Attempts

Line: 33.5 | Model projection: 34.1 | Pick: over

Model probability: 52.5% | Over: 52.5% | Under: 47.5%

Odds: -114 | Over -114 | Under -111 (DraftKings)

Edge: 2.20 | Edge pct: 2.2%

Completions

Line: 21.5 | Model projection: 21.5 | Pick: under

Model probability: 50.2% | Over: 49.8% | Under: 50.2%

Odds: -104 | Over -123 | Under -104 (DraftKings)

Edge: 2.10 | Edge pct: 2.1%

About the model

Projections from the VSN model (vsn-v1). Games used: 20. Last game in sample: 2026-10-18T13:30:00.000+00:00. Lines and odds move; check the live board before betting.

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