Geno Smith Prop Projections

Rushing Yards

Line: 6.5 | Model projection: 12.7 | Pick: over

Model probability: 81.5% | Over: 81.5% | Under: 18.5%

Odds: -107 | Over -107 | Under -117 (DraftKings)

Edge: 32.50 | Edge pct: 32.5%

Interceptions

Line: 0.5 | Model projection: 0.6 | Pick: over

Model probability: 57.0% | Over: 57.0% | Under: 43.0%

Odds: -101 | Over -101 | Under -127 (DraftKings)

Edge: 9.70 | Edge pct: 9.7%

Passing Yards

Line: 220.5 | Model projection: 209.6 | Pick: under

Model probability: 56.7% | Over: 43.3% | Under: 56.7%

Odds: -113 | Over -111 | Under -113 (DraftKings)

Edge: 6.40 | Edge pct: 6.4%

Completions

Line: 20.5 | Model projection: 20.1 | Pick: under

Model probability: 52.7% | Over: 47.3% | Under: 52.7%

Odds: -105 | Over -122 | Under -105 (DraftKings)

Edge: 4.40 | Edge pct: 4.4%

Passing TDs

Line: 1.5 | Model projection: 1.3 | Pick: under

Model probability: 58.2% | Over: 41.8% | Under: 58.2%

Odds: -137 | Over +107 | Under -137 (DraftKings)

Edge: 3.70 | Edge pct: 3.7%

Pass Attempts

Line: 29.5 | Model projection: 30.1 | Pick: over

Model probability: 52.7% | Over: 52.7% | Under: 47.3%

Odds: -120 | Over -120 | Under -107 (DraftKings)

Edge: 1.40 | Edge pct: 1.4%

About the model

Projections from the VSN model (vsn-v1). Games used: 17. Last game in sample: 2026-10-18T17:00:00.000+00:00. Lines and odds move; check the live board before betting.

More players in this game

• Ollie Gordon II props
• Malik Willis props
• Malik Washington props
• Mason Taylor props
• Greg Dulcich props
• Jaylen Wright props
• Garrett Wilson props

Related analysis

• Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets Prediction, Picks and Odds - October 25, 2026
• Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets Prediction, Picks and Odds - November 1, 2026