Matthew Stafford Prop Projections

Pass Attempts

Line: 34.5 | Model projection: 38.5 | Pick: over

Model probability: 66.2% | Over: 66.2% | Under: 33.8%

Odds: -116 | Over -116 | Under -110 (DraftKings)

Edge: 15.60 | Edge pct: 15.6%

Interceptions

Line: 0.5 | Model projection: 0.7 | Pick: over

Model probability: 59.4% | Over: 59.4% | Under: 40.6%

Odds: -102 | Over -102 | Under -126 (DraftKings)

Edge: 11.90 | Edge pct: 11.9%

Passing TDs

Line: 1.5 | Model projection: 2.1 | Pick: over

Model probability: 67.8% | Over: 67.8% | Under: 32.2%

Odds: -157 | Over -157 | Under +123 (DraftKings)

Edge: 10.20 | Edge pct: 10.2%

Completions

Line: 22.5 | Model projection: 24.4 | Pick: over

Model probability: 61.6% | Over: 61.6% | Under: 38.4%

Odds: -125 | Over -125 | Under -102 (DraftKings)

Edge: 9.30 | Edge pct: 9.3%

Passing Yards

Line: 271.5 | Model projection: 284.5 | Pick: over

Model probability: 56.6% | Over: 56.6% | Under: 43.4%

Odds: -112 | Over -112 | Under -112 (DraftKings)

Edge: 6.60 | Edge pct: 6.6%

About the model

Projections from the VSN model (vsn-v1). Games used: 20. Last game in sample: 2026-10-18T20:05:00.000+00:00. Lines and odds move; check the live board before betting.

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