Brock Purdy Prop Projections

Rush Attempts

Line: 4.5 | Model projection: 6.2 | Pick: over

Model probability: 75.2% | Over: 75.2% | Under: 24.8%

Odds: -101 | Over -101 | Under -126 (DraftKings)

Edge: 27.80 | Edge pct: 27.8%

Rushing Yards

Line: 18.5 | Model projection: 24.8 | Pick: over

Model probability: 72.2% | Over: 72.2% | Under: 27.8%

Odds: -116 | Over -116 | Under -108 (DraftKings)

Edge: 21.30 | Edge pct: 21.3%

Interceptions

Line: 0.5 | Model projection: 0.7 | Pick: over

Model probability: 61.9% | Over: 61.9% | Under: 38.1%

Odds: -110 | Over -110 | Under -116 (DraftKings)

Edge: 12.50 | Edge pct: 12.5%

Passing TDs

Line: 1.5 | Model projection: 2.0 | Pick: over

Model probability: 64.1% | Over: 64.1% | Under: 35.9%

Odds: -141 | Over -141 | Under +111 (DraftKings)

Edge: 8.80 | Edge pct: 8.8%

Passing Yards

Line: 239.5 | Model projection: 237.2 | Pick: under

Model probability: 51.5% | Over: 48.5% | Under: 51.5%

Odds: -111 | Over -113 | Under -111 (DraftKings)

Edge: 1.70 | Edge pct: 1.7%

Completions

Line: 20.5 | Model projection: 20.4 | Pick: under

Model probability: 51.5% | Over: 48.5% | Under: 51.5%

Odds: -126 | Over -101 | Under -126 (DraftKings)

Edge: -1.10 | Edge pct: -1.1%

Pass Attempts

Line: 30.5 | Model projection: 30.7 | Pick: over

Model probability: 52.0% | Over: 52.0% | Under: 48.0%

Odds: -123 | Over -123 | Under -104 (DraftKings)

Edge: 0.10 | Edge pct: 0.1%

About the model

Projections from the VSN model (vsn-v1). Games used: 20. Last game in sample: 2026-10-20T00:15:00.000+00:00. Lines and odds move; check the live board before betting.

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