Michael Penix Jr. Prop Projections

Rushing Yards

Line: 1.5 | Model projection: 12.7 | Pick: over

Model probability: 96.6% | Over: 96.6% | Under: 3.4%

Odds: -112 | Over -112 | Under -112 (DraftKings)

Edge: 35.00 | Edge pct: 35.0%

Completions

Line: 19.5 | Model projection: 18.0 | Pick: under

Model probability: 62.0% | Over: 38.0% | Under: 62.0%

Odds: -103 | Over -123 | Under -103 (DraftKings)

Edge: 14.10 | Edge pct: 14.1%

Pass Attempts

Line: 31.5 | Model projection: 29.3 | Pick: under

Model probability: 59.4% | Over: 40.6% | Under: 59.4%

Odds: -117 | Over -109 | Under -117 (DraftKings)

Edge: 8.60 | Edge pct: 8.6%

Passing Yards

Line: 230.5 | Model projection: 219.4 | Pick: under

Model probability: 57.0% | Over: 43.0% | Under: 57.0%

Odds: -112 | Over -112 | Under -112 (DraftKings)

Edge: 7.00 | Edge pct: 7.0%

Passing TDs

Line: 1.5 | Model projection: 1.2 | Pick: under

Model probability: 60.2% | Over: 39.8% | Under: 60.2%

Odds: -151 | Over +118 | Under -151 (DraftKings)

Edge: 3.50 | Edge pct: 3.5%

Interceptions

Line: 0.5 | Model projection: 0.4 | Pick: under

Model probability: 58.2% | Over: 41.8% | Under: 58.2%

Odds: -149 | Over +117 | Under -149 (DraftKings)

Edge: 1.70 | Edge pct: 1.7%

About the model

Projections from the VSN model (vsn-v1). Games used: 14. Last game in sample: 2026-10-18T17:00:00.000+00:00. Lines and odds move; check the live board before betting.

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