Pat Freiermuth Prop Projections

Receptions

Line: 3.5 | Model projection: 2.9 | Pick: under

Model probability: 66.0% | Over: 34.0% | Under: 66.0%

Odds: -161 | Over +126 | Under -161 (DraftKings)

Edge: 7.70 | Edge pct: 7.7%

Receiving Yards

Line: 31.5 | Model projection: 30.7 | Pick: under

Model probability: 51.6% | Over: 48.4% | Under: 51.6%

Odds: -109 | Over -115 | Under -109 (DraftKings)

Edge: 2.20 | Edge pct: 2.2%

About the model

Projections from the VSN model (vsn-v1). Games used: 20. Last game in sample: 2026-10-18T17:00:00.000+00:00. Lines and odds move; check the live board before betting.

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