Tyler Shough Prop Projections

Rush Attempts

Line: 3.5 | Model projection: 5.7 | Pick: over

Model probability: 78.8% | Over: 78.8% | Under: 21.2%

Odds: +102 | Over +102 | Under -130 (DraftKings)

Edge: 32.10 | Edge pct: 32.1%

Rushing Yards

Line: 16.5 | Model projection: 21.3 | Pick: over

Model probability: 62.4% | Over: 62.4% | Under: 37.6%

Odds: -111 | Over -111 | Under -113 (DraftKings)

Edge: 12.60 | Edge pct: 12.6%

Passing TDs

Line: 1.5 | Model projection: 1.5 | Pick: over

Model probability: 50.0% | Over: 50.0% | Under: 50.0%

Odds: +138 | Over +138 | Under -178 (DraftKings)

Edge: 10.40 | Edge pct: 10.4%

Pass Attempts

Line: 36.5 | Model projection: 34.6 | Pick: under

Model probability: 56.7% | Over: 43.3% | Under: 56.7%

Odds: -118 | Over -108 | Under -118 (DraftKings)

Edge: 5.70 | Edge pct: 5.7%

Interceptions

Line: 0.5 | Model projection: 0.7 | Pick: over

Model probability: 58.9% | Over: 58.9% | Under: 41.1%

Odds: -143 | Over -143 | Under +112 (DraftKings)

Edge: 3.40 | Edge pct: 3.4%

Completions

Line: 23.5 | Model projection: 22.6 | Pick: under

Model probability: 54.8% | Over: 45.2% | Under: 54.8%

Odds: -126 | Over -101 | Under -126 (DraftKings)

Edge: 2.20 | Edge pct: 2.2%

Passing Yards

Line: 229.5 | Model projection: 230.9 | Pick: over

Model probability: 50.6% | Over: 50.6% | Under: 49.4%

Odds: -113 | Over -113 | Under -111 (DraftKings)

Edge: 0.40 | Edge pct: 0.4%

About the model

Projections from the VSN model (vsn-v1). Games used: 17. Last game in sample: 2026-10-18T17:00:00.000+00:00. Lines and odds move; check the live board before betting.

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